Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000048 0.000051 0.000053 0.000056 0.000059 0.000063
2025-05-11 0.000043 0.000046 0.000050 0.000054 0.000059 0.000064 0.000070
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000056 0.000063 0.000070 0.000079
2025-05-25 0.000039 0.000043 0.000048 0.000055 0.000062 0.000071 0.000081
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000041 0.000046 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000083
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000053 0.000062 0.000073 0.000087
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000076 0.000093
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000037 0.000044 0.000052 0.000063 0.000076 0.000094
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075 0.000094
2025-07-06 0.000028 0.000034 0.000040 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073 0.000093
2025-07-13 0.000027 0.000032 0.000038 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000092
2025-07-20 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000092
2025-07-27 0.000025 0.000031 0.000037 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000098
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000046 0.000059 0.000077 0.000104
2025-08-10 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000048 0.000062 0.000083 0.000115
2025-08-17 0.000024 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000061 0.000082 0.000116
2025-08-24 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000060 0.000081 0.000115
2025-08-31 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000060 0.000083 0.000121
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000046 0.000062 0.000086 0.000128
2025-09-14 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000045 0.000061 0.000085 0.000128
2025-09-21 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000043 0.000059 0.000084 0.000127
2025-09-28 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000042 0.000057 0.000081 0.000124
2025-10-05 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000040 0.000056 0.000079 0.000123